Italy · Campionato Primavera - 2 · Group B - 2913:00

2 – 1

Saturday, 2 May 2026

· Analysis updated 16:01 UTC

Spezia U19 vs Ternana U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Spezia U19 vs Ternana U19 in the Campionato Primavera - 2: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Spezia U19 home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Spezia U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Spezia U19 and 1.18 for Ternana U19, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Spezia U19 or Ternana U19 yet, so these numbers are a Campionato Primavera - 2 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Spezia U19 win44%
Draw26%
Ternana U19 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Spezia U19

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Monopoli U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Pisa U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Palermo U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ascoli U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Pisa U19 · 1-2 (L)

Ternana U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Campionato Primavera - 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Renate U19321057
    1Perugia U193300109
    2Vicenza U19321057
    2Catanzaro U19330099
    3Cremonese U19320136
    3Avellino U19330059
    4Virtus Entella U19320136
    4Bari U19321057
    5Padova U19320126
    5Palermo U19321037
    6Mantova U19312035
    6Benevento U19320166
    7Sampdoria U19312025
    7Spezia U19311124
    8Modena U19311124
    8Monopoli U19311114
    9Venezia U19311114
    9Pescara U19311104
    10Brescia U19311104
    10Latina U193102-13
    11Cittadella U193102-23
    11Pisa U193102-33
    12Udinese U193102-53
    12Ascoli U193021-12
    13Sudtirol U193021-32
    13Napoli U193012-31
    14Reggiana U193012-31
    14Frosinone U193003-100
    15Pro Vercelli U193012-61
    15Cosenza U193003-100
    16Lecco U193012-71
    16Salernitana U193003-130

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.