· Analysis updated 10:26 UTC
Spišská Nová Ves vs Rimavská Sobota Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Spišská Nová Ves and 1.22 for Rimavská Sobota, a combined total of 3.12. That distribution gives Spišská Nová Ves the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Spišská Nová Ves win
53.4% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.22
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spišská Nová Ves home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rimavská Sobota away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Spišská Nová Ves to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Spišská Nová Ves and 1.22 for Rimavská Sobota, a combined 3.12 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–08.0%
- 1–26.2%
Recent form
Spišská Nová Ves
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Poprad · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lipany · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs MSK Tesla Stropkov · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-08T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Podbrezová · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizán Bardejov · 0-1 (L)
Rimavská Sobota
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fiľakovo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Medzibrod · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Dolný Kubín · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kysucké Nové Mesto · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Námestovo · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Spišská Nová Ves win, at 53.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.