Leimbachstadion · Analysis updated 23:44 UTC
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Hilden Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Sportfreunde Siegen and 1.36 for Hilden, a combined total of 2.41. That distribution gives Hilden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Hilden or Draw
71.2% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.36
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.8%
- 0–112.2%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.7%
Why the model likes this
Hilden away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hilden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 29% / 27% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Sportfreunde Siegen and 1.36 for Hilden, a combined 2.41 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Sportfreunde Siegen
Hilden
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs SG Wattenscheid 09 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sportfreunde Siegen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Bocholt · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-29T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wulfrath · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Meerbusch · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westfalia Rhynern | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Schalke 04 II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Gutersloh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Hilden | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Köln II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Bocholt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bergisch Gladbach | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Paderborn II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Rodinghausen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Bonner SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Bochum II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Wiedenbrück | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.