· Analysis updated 15:36 UTC
Sporting Braga U19 vs Gil Vicente U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.82 expected goals for Sporting Braga U19 and 0.77 for Gil Vicente U19, a combined total of 1.59. That distribution gives Sporting Braga U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 34%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 21% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 34% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.0% probability
Expected goals
0.82 – 0.77
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sporting Braga U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gil Vicente U19 away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
65%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–020.4%
- 1–016.7%
- 0–115.8%
- 1–112.9%
- 2–06.8%
Recent form
Sporting Braga U19
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vizela U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Feirense U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Academico Viseu U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-04-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19 · 4-2 (W)
Gil Vicente U19
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Moreirense U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vizela U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Feirense U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Braga U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Academico Viseu U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 0-0 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2025-12-01T15:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 5-1 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2025-08-19T16:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 0-1 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2025-04-30T15:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 0-0 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2025-03-01T15:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 2-1 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2025-01-05T15:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 2-3 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2024-09-28T14:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 0-1 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2023-11-25T15:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 2-0 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2023-08-27T00:00:00.000Z · Sporting Braga U19 3-1 Gil Vicente U19 (Júniores U19)
Júniores U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
| 1 | Sporting CP U19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Benfica U19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Sporting Braga U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Feirense U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Mafra U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Ave U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Famalicão U19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Casa Pia U19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Farense U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Alverca U19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Vizela U19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 3 |
| 10 | União Leiria U19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 21%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.