· Analysis updated 04:21 UTC
Sporting CP U19 vs Santa Clara U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Sporting CP U19 and 1.45 for Santa Clara U19, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Sporting CP U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.9% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sporting CP U19 home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Santa Clara U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sporting CP U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 25% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Sporting CP U19 and 1.45 for Santa Clara U19, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–17.8%
Recent form
Sporting CP U19
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Benfica U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lens U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Mafra U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Farense U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Alverca U19 · 3-0 (W)
Santa Clara U19
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Alverca U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Oriental U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mafra U19 · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs União Leiria U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Casa Pia U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Júniores U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 |
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Porto U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Sporting CP U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente U19 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 3 | Santa Clara U19 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U19 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | Torreense U19 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Oriental U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Sporting Braga U19 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Casa Pia U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Feirense U19 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Mafra U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 | Famalicão U19 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | SC Farense U19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | União Leiria U19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
| 10 | Vizela U19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca U19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.