Sporting CP W vs SeaSters Odesa W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Sporting CP W and 1.15 for SeaSters Odesa W, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Sporting CP W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sporting CP W win

53.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sporting CP W home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sporting CP W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 23% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.82 goals for Sporting CP W and 1.15 for SeaSters Odesa W, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Sporting CP W win53%

Draw23%

SeaSters Odesa W win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–110.7%
2–19.8%
1–09.4%
2–08.5%
1–26.1%

Recent form

Sporting CP W

2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-27T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Braga W · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Marítimo W · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitoria Guimaraes W · 2-0 (W)

SeaSters Odesa W

2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys W · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-05T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-05T12:30:00.000Z · Sporting CP W 5-0 SeaSters Odesa W (UEFA Champions League Women)

UEFA Champions League Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona W	2	2	0	0	9	6
2	Lyon W	2	1	1	0	8	4
3	Paris Saint Germain W	2	1	1	0	5	4
4	Bayern Munich W	2	1	1	0	3	4
5	Arsenal W	2	1	1	0	1	4
6	Inter Milano W	2	1	1	0	1	4
7	Chelsea W	2	1	1	0	1	4
8	Køge W	2	1	0	1	3	3
9	Juventus W	2	1	0	1	2	3
10	SL Benfica W	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Manchester City W	2	0	2	0	0	2
12	Real Madrid W	2	0	2	0	0	2
13	Austria Wien W	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Paris FC W	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	OH Leuven W	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Roma W	2	0	1	1	-6	1
17	Häcken W	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Servette Chênois W	2	0	0	2	-12	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sporting CP W win, at 53.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.