Jahnstadion Regensburg · Analysis updated 13:54 UTC
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 1.42 for SV Wehen, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives SV Wehen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
69.5% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SSV Jahn Regensburg home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SV Wehen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 30% / 26% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 1.42 for SV Wehen, a combined 2.57 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–27.7%
Recent form
SSV Jahn Regensburg
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs WSG Wattens · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Alemannia Aachen · 2-2 (D)
SV Wehen
- 2026-10-02T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruher SC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Waldhof Mannheim · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Saarbrücken | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Waldhof Mannheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Alemannia Aachen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Verl | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Fortuna Köln | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | SV Meppen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | SV Wehen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Havelse | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.