Arena Regensburg · Analysis updated 14:46 UTC
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 1.91 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 3.39. That distribution gives WSG Wattens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
WSG Wattens win
47.7% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SSV Jahn Regensburg home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
WSG Wattens away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates WSG Wattens to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 30% / 22% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 1.91 for WSG Wattens, a combined 3.39 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 1–29.1%
- 2–17.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.4%
Recent form
SSV Jahn Regensburg
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs WSG Wattens · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Alemannia Aachen · 2-2 (D)
WSG Wattens
- 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Liefering · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Vienna · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TSV Hartberg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is WSG Wattens win, at 47.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.