Marschweg-Stadion · Referee J. Besong · Analysis updated 11:20 UTC
SSV Jeddeloh vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for SSV Jeddeloh and 1.64 for 1. FC Heidenheim, a combined total of 3.92. That distribution gives SSV Jeddeloh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SSV Jeddeloh win
52.2% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SSV Jeddeloh home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
1. FC Heidenheim away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SSV Jeddeloh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 20% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for SSV Jeddeloh and 1.64 for 1. FC Heidenheim, a combined 3.92 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.5%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–26.1%
Recent form
SSV Jeddeloh
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Norderstedt · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs VfB Oldenburg · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Atlas Delmenhorst · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kickers Emden · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV II · 1-3 (L)
1. FC Heidenheim
- 2026-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs VfB Stuttgart · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:30:00.000Z · A vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden · 5-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SSV Jeddeloh win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.