Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · North - 916:30
SSV JeddelohDWLLL

5 – 0

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

· Analysis updated 13:13 UTC

SSV Jeddeloh vs Atlas Delmenhorst Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for SSV Jeddeloh and 1.90 for Atlas Delmenhorst, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Atlas Delmenhorst the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Atlas Delmenhorst win

48.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • SSV Jeddeloh home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Atlas Delmenhorst away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Atlas Delmenhorst to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 30% / 22% / 48% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.45 goals for SSV Jeddeloh and 1.90 for Atlas Delmenhorst, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SSV Jeddeloh win30%
Draw22%
Atlas Delmenhorst win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 0–16.7%
  • 2–26.7%

Recent form

SSV Jeddeloh

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eimsbütteler TV · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs VfB Lübeck · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Norderstedt · 0-4 (L)

Atlas Delmenhorst

  • 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Phönix Lübeck · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Bremer SV · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen II · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eimsbütteler TV · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Nord table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weiche Flensburg1511132634
2Hannover 96 II1510321533
3SV Drochtersen/Assel1510142631
4VfB Oldenburg1410132231
5Phönix Lübeck148422428
6Schöningen14734-224
7Atlas Delmenhorst14554-120
8Kickers Emden15546-519
9VfB Lübeck14464-318
10HSC Hannover15456-917
11Werder Bremen II14437-415
12Eimsbütteler TV14437-1415
13SSV Jeddeloh15429-1414
14St. Pauli II14419-213
15Eintracht Norderstedt13346-813
16Hamburger SV II14419-1213
17Todesfelde15339-2512
18Bremer SV14329-1411

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Atlas Delmenhorst win, at 48.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.