· Analysis updated 09:13 UTC
SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for SSV Jeddeloh and 1.50 for Hertha BSC, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives SSV Jeddeloh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
SSV Jeddeloh win
67.8% probability
Expected goals
3.00 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SSV Jeddeloh home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha BSC away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SSV Jeddeloh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 16% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for SSV Jeddeloh and 1.50 for Hertha BSC, a combined 4.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 3–17.5%
- 4–15.6%
- 2–25.6%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
SSV Jeddeloh
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eimsbütteler TV · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs VfB Lübeck · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 2-7 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Norderstedt · 0-4 (L)
Hertha BSC
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Holstein Kiel · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z · H vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Augsburg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SSV Jeddeloh win, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.