· Analysis updated 15:37 UTC
SSV Jeddeloh vs Preußen Münster Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for SSV Jeddeloh and 2.55 for Preußen Münster, a combined total of 4.65. That distribution gives Preußen Münster the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Preußen Münster win
48.6% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 2.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SSV Jeddeloh home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Preußen Münster away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Preußen Münster to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 33% / 19% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for SSV Jeddeloh and 2.55 for Preußen Münster, a combined 4.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.9%
- 1–26.5%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–35.5%
- 2–15.4%
Recent form
SSV Jeddeloh
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Norderstedt · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs VfB Oldenburg · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Atlas Delmenhorst · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kickers Emden · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV II · 1-3 (L)
Preußen Münster
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Waldhof Mannheim · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Saarbrücken · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Viktoria Köln · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-17T14:30:00.000Z · SSV Jeddeloh 0-3 Preußen Münster (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2023-01-21T13:00:00.000Z · SSV Jeddeloh 1-4 Preussen Munster (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2020-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · SSV Jeddeloh 0-2 Preussen Munster (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Preußen Münster win, at 48.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.