· Analysis updated 12:19 UTC
St. Andrew Lions vs Wotton Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.75 expected goals for St. Andrew Lions and 1.60 for Wotton, a combined total of 4.35. That distribution gives St. Andrew Lions the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
St. Andrew Lions win
61.8% probability
Expected goals
2.75 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
St. Andrew Lions home form
2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Wotton away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.8%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–26.2%
- 3–25.7%
- 1–15.7%
Recent form
St. Andrew Lions
- 2026-05-26T23:00:00.000Z · A vs UWI Blackbirds · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-17T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Kick Start · 0-23 (L)
- 2026-05-12T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Ellerton · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-05T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Brittons Hill · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-25T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Paradise · 1-7 (L)
Wotton
- 2026-05-27T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Bagatelle · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Brittons Hill · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-05-13T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Pride of Gall Hill · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-03T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Paradise · 2-11 (L)
- 2026-04-22T01:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Andrew Lions · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-22T01:00:00.000Z · St. Andrew Lions 2-2 Wotton (Premier League)
- 2026-02-01T22:00:00.000Z · St. Andrew Lions 3-0 Wotton (Premier League)
- 2023-06-09T01:00:00.000Z · St. Andrew Lions 3-3 Wotton (Premier League)
- 2023-01-26T23:00:00.000Z · St. Andrew Lions 3-3 Wotton (Premier League)
- 2020-03-08T22:00:00.000Z · St. Andrew Lions 2-3 Wotton (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weymouth Wales | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 56 | 49 |
| 2 | Brittons Hill | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | Ellerton | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 |
| 4 | UWI Blackbirds | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Pride of Gall Hill | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 | Kick Start | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -4 | 21 |
| 7 | Paradise | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Wotton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -12 | 18 |
| 9 | Deacons | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 17 |
| 10 | Silver Sands | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | -59 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is St. Andrew Lions win, at 61.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.