NÖFV-Verbandssportanlage · Analysis updated 23:32 UTC
St. Pölten II vs Admira II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for St. Pölten II and 1.95 for Admira II, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives Admira II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.1% probability
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
St. Pölten II home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Admira II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for St. Pölten II and 1.95 for Admira II, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 73%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–34.9%
Recent form
St. Pölten II
- 2026-07-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Donau · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-06-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-06-07T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Korneuburg · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Ybbs · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-22T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Zwettl · 2-0 (W)
Admira II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.