NV Arena · Analysis updated 02:42 UTC
St. Pölten W vs Austria Wien W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for St. Pölten W and 1.41 for Austria Wien W, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Austria Wien W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.6% probability
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
St. Pölten W home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Wien W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.1%
Recent form
St. Pölten W
- 2026-09-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Juventus W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Salzburg W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-26T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Juventus W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T10:30:00.000Z · A vs LASK W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach W · 3-0 (W)
Austria Wien W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Inter Milano W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 1-0 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 1-1 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2026-04-26T10:45:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 0-0 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2026-02-07T13:00:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 1-2 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2025-09-30T17:30:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 0-1 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2025-05-18T15:00:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 2-0 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2025-04-13T11:00:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 1-1 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2025-03-23T13:00:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 2-0 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2024-11-03T14:00:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 1-1 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
- 2024-03-17T11:30:00.000Z · St. Pölten W 0-0 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | St. Pölten W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 |
| 3 | Austria Wien W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | Salzburg W | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Rheindorf Altach W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | LASK W | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 6 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -26 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.