Stade Fred-Aubert · Analysis updated 11:17 UTC
Stade Briochin vs Quevilly Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Stade Briochin and 1.48 for Quevilly, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives Quevilly the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Quevilly win
46.9% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.8%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–08.4%
Why the model likes this
Quevilly away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Quevilly to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 27% / 26% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Stade Briochin and 1.48 for Quevilly, a combined 2.53 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Stade Briochin
Quevilly
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gobelins · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oissel · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.