· Analysis updated 15:18 UTC
Stade Verviers vs Ostiches Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.63 expected goals for Stade Verviers and 1.28 for Ostiches, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Stade Verviers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Stade Verviers win
66.2% probability
Expected goals
2.63 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stade Verviers home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Ostiches away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stade Verviers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 17% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.63 goals for Stade Verviers and 1.28 for Ostiches, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.8%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–16.8%
- 3–06.1%
Recent form
Stade Verviers
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 5-0 (W)
Ostiches
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Verviers · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Huy · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Richelle United · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ganshoren · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Entité Manageoise · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04T17:30:00.000Z · Stade Verviers 1-0 Ostiches (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2025-10-26T14:00:00.000Z · Stade Verviers 0-1 Ostiches (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2025-01-19T14:00:00.000Z · Stade Verviers 2-0 Ostiches (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2024-09-22T13:00:00.000Z · Stade Verviers 0-1 Ostiches (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jette | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stade Mouscronnois | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Braine | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | AS Eupen II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Huy | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Ganshoren | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | La Calamine | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | RUS Binche | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Stade Verviers | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Acren-Lessines | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ostiches | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Richelle United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Stade Verviers win, at 66.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.