Stade Verviers vs Union Namur Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.43 expected goals for Stade Verviers and 0.92 for Union Namur, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Stade Verviers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Stade Verviers win

70.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.43 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Stade Verviers home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Union Namur away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stade Verviers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.43 goals for Stade Verviers and 0.92 for Union Namur, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Stade Verviers win70%

Draw17%

Union Namur win13%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

30%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

2–010.3%
2–19.5%
1–08.5%
3–08.3%
1–17.9%

Recent form

Stade Verviers

2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 3-4 (L)
2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 5-0 (W)

Union Namur

2026-10-17T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Ostiches · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Jette · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Acren-Lessines · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Braine · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stockay-Warfusée · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second Amateur Division - ACFF table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jette	9	5	4	0	9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	6	1	2	7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	5	2	2	9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	5	2	2	7	17
5	Braine	9	5	2	2	5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	4	3	2	3	15
7	Huy	9	4	2	3	-2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	4	1	4	5	13
9	La Calamine	9	4	1	4	2	13
10	RUS Binche	9	3	3	3	-3	12
11	Stade Verviers	9	3	2	4	2	11
12	Acren-Lessines	9	3	2	4	2	11
13	Ostiches	9	2	5	2	-1	11
14	Richelle United	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	2	2	5	-6	8
17	Union Namur	9	1	2	6	-14	5
18	Aywaille	9	0	1	8	-17	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Stade Verviers win, at 70.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.