· Analysis updated 02:51 UTC
Stamford vs Mickleover Sports Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Stamford and 1.68 for Mickleover Sports, a combined total of 2.79. That distribution gives Mickleover Sports the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mickleover Sports win
50.6% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stamford home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mickleover Sports away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mickleover Sports to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 25% / 24% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Stamford and 1.68 for Mickleover Sports, a combined 2.79 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–06.8%
Recent form
Stamford
- 2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Hitchin Town · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Bedford · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Stratford Town · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Banbury United · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Needham Market · 0-4 (L)
Mickleover Sports
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alfreton Town · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Malvern Town · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Halesowen Town · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sutton Coldfield Town · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stamford · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mickleover Sports win, at 50.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.