· Analysis updated 19:29 UTC
Standard Liege W vs Anderlecht W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Standard Liege W and 2.71 for Anderlecht W, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Anderlecht W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Anderlecht W win
72.3% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 2.71
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Anderlecht W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Anderlecht W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 12% / 16% / 72% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Standard Liege W and 2.71 for Anderlecht W, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
28%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.0%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–38.1%
- 0–37.7%
- 1–16.6%
Recent form
Standard Liege W
Anderlecht W
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louviere W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-1 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2026-04-25T11:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 0-2 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2026-02-14T12:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 0-3 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2025-11-15T18:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 0-2 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2025-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-1 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2025-05-03T17:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 0-2 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2025-04-30T11:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 2-4 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2025-03-08T13:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-1 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2025-01-25T12:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-1 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
- 2024-10-16T18:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 2-2 Anderlecht W (Super League Women)
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Anderlecht W win, at 72.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.