· Analysis updated 11:05 UTC
Standard Liege W vs Club Brugge W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.22 expected goals for Standard Liege W and 2.60 for Club Brugge W, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Club Brugge W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Club Brugge W win
66.9% probability
Expected goals
1.22 – 2.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Club Brugge W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Club Brugge W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 16% / 17% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.22 goals for Standard Liege W and 2.60 for Club Brugge W, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.0%
- 1–37.8%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–16.9%
- 0–36.4%
Recent form
Standard Liege W
Club Brugge W
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Anderlecht W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Club Brugge W win, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.