· Analysis updated 04:44 UTC
Standard Liege W vs Zulte-Waregem W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Standard Liege W and 1.00 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Standard Liege W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.5% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zulte-Waregem W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Standard Liege W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 29% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Standard Liege W and 1.00 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–010.5%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–08.2%
Recent form
Standard Liege W
Zulte-Waregem W
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 4-3 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2026-03-14T12:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2025-11-08T18:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 2-2 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2025-09-06T11:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 0-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2025-03-22T17:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 2-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2024-10-19T11:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2024-08-31T17:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 2-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2024-03-09T12:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2023-11-04T18:00:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2023-02-11T14:30:00.000Z · Standard Liege W 1-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.