· Analysis updated 14:03 UTC
Stará Ľubovňa vs Slávia TU Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.63 expected goals for Stará Ľubovňa and 1.40 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Stará Ľubovňa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Stará Ľubovňa win
63.7% probability
Expected goals
2.63 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stará Ľubovňa home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slávia TU Košice away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stará Ľubovňa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 18% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.63 goals for Stará Ľubovňa and 1.40 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–16.5%
- 2–06.1%
- 2–26.0%
Recent form
Stará Ľubovňa
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Snina · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Medzev · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Raslavice · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Poprad · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lipany · 3-0 (W)
Slávia TU Košice
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Košice · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Kežmarok · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Snina · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Medzev · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Raslavice · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotíva Košice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Spartak Medzev | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Raslavice | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Stará Ľubovňa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Partizán Bardejov | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Spišská Nová Ves | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Lipany | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
| 8 | Poprad | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Snina | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Slávia TU Košice | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Vranov nad Topľou | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 13 |
| 13 | Slovan Sabinov | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 14 | Kežmarok | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Stará Ľubovňa win, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.