· Analysis updated 09:51 UTC
Start W vs Grei W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.66 expected goals for Start W and 1.30 for Grei W, a combined total of 3.97. That distribution gives Start W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Start W win
66.4% probability
Expected goals
2.66 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Start W home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Grei W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Start W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 17% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.66 goals for Start W and 1.30 for Grei W, a combined 3.97 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.8%
- 2–06.7%
- 1–16.6%
- 3–06.0%
Recent form
Start W
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolbotn W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Viking FK W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-16T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Grei W · 3-1 (W)
Grei W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking FK W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Division Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -18 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Start W win, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.