Guldbergaunet Stadion · Analysis updated 14:45 UTC
Steinkjer vs Ranheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Steinkjer and 2.06 for Ranheim, a combined total of 3.87. That distribution gives Ranheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.3% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 2.06
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Steinkjer home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ranheim away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ranheim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 35% / 21% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Steinkjer and 2.06 for Ranheim, a combined 3.87 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.0%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.2%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–35.5%
Recent form
Steinkjer
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranheim · 0-6 (L)
- 2023-10-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Verdal · 0-1 (L)
- 2023-10-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bodø / Glimt II · 0-8 (L)
- 2023-10-14T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rana · 2-4 (L)
- 2023-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Trønder-Lyn · 6-1 (W)
Ranheim
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lyn · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Levanger · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Asane · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandnes ULF · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ODD Ballklubb · 3-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.