Stadium Sternberk · Analysis updated 15:13 UTC
Šternberk vs Jiskra Rýmařov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Šternberk and 1.95 for Jiskra Rýmařov, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Jiskra Rýmařov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.4% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Šternberk home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Jiskra Rýmařov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Jiskra Rýmařov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Šternberk and 1.95 for Jiskra Rýmařov, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.9%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–35.0%
Recent form
Šternberk
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Všechovice · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavičín · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nové Sady · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Lanžhot · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kozlovice · 0-1 (L)
Jiskra Rýmařov
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Bílovec · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Břidličná · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bospor Bohumín · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Zabreh · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava II · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.