Štětí vs Slaný Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Štětí and 1.80 for Slaný, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Slaný the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slaný win

49.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Štětí home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slaný away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Štětí win27%

Draw23%

Slaný win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–110.6%
1–29.5%
0–18.3%
0–27.5%
2–16.8%

Recent form

Štětí

2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Karlovy Vary · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hvězda Cheb · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slaný · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem II · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Meteor Praha · 2-2 (D)

Slaný

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem II · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Štětí · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Meteor Praha · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Chomutov · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Sokolov · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · Štětí 3-0 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2026-06-13T12:00:00.000Z · Štětí 1-3 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2025-11-15T09:15:00.000Z · Štětí 1-5 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2025-05-31T08:15:00.000Z · Štětí 1-1 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2024-11-02T13:00:00.000Z · Štětí 1-2 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2024-05-25T15:00:00.000Z · Štětí 0-2 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2023-10-28T08:15:00.000Z · Štětí 1-2 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2023-04-22T15:00:00.000Z · Štětí 0-2 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2022-09-24T08:15:00.000Z · Štětí 4-5 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
2022-04-23T08:15:00.000Z · Štětí 4-1 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)

4. liga - Divizie B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chomutov	12	9	1	2	15	28
2	Újezd Praha 4	12	7	3	2	6	24
3	Rapid Psáry	12	7	2	3	14	23
4	Sokol Hostouň	11	7	1	3	16	22
5	Slaný	12	5	3	4	12	18
6	Baník Sokolov	12	6	0	6	5	18
7	Brandýs nad Labem	12	6	0	6	1	18
8	Štětí	12	5	3	4	1	18
9	Karlovy Vary	12	5	2	5	3	17
10	Tempo Praha	12	5	2	5	3	17
11	Meteor Praha	11	5	1	5	0	16
12	Slovan Velvary	12	4	2	6	-10	14
13	Hvězda Cheb	12	3	1	8	-14	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	12	3	1	8	-14	10
15	Ostrov	12	3	1	8	-17	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	12	2	3	7	-21	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slaný win, at 49.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.