· Analysis updated 07:14 UTC
Stockay-Warfusée vs Braine Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Stockay-Warfusée and 1.23 for Braine, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives Stockay-Warfusée the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.0% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stockay-Warfusée home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Braine away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stockay-Warfusée to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 25% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Stockay-Warfusée and 1.23 for Braine, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.4%
Recent form
Stockay-Warfusée
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Ostiches · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jette · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Namur · 0-0 (D)
Braine
- 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Acren-Lessines · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stockay-Warfusée · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jette | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stade Mouscronnois | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Braine | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | AS Eupen II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Huy | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Ganshoren | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | La Calamine | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | RUS Binche | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Stade Verviers | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Acren-Lessines | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ostiches | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Richelle United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.