· Analysis updated 04:45 UTC
Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 0.99 for Hammarby FF, a combined total of 2.94. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Stockholm Internazionale win
59.8% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stockholm Internazionale home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hammarby FF away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 22% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 0.99 for Hammarby FF, a combined 2.94 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–010.3%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–06.5%
Recent form
Stockholm Internazionale
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AFC Eskilstuna · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Assyriska FF · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sollentuna · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlberg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stocksund · 5-2 (W)
Hammarby FF
- 2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Mjallby AIF · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Halmstad · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Djurgardens IF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Vasteras SK FK · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Degerfors IF · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Stockholm Internazionale win, at 59.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.