Stockholm Internazionale vs Piteå Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.02 expected goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 0.71 for Piteå, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Stockholm Internazionale win

83.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.02 – 0.71

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Stockholm Internazionale home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Piteå away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 83%, against 83% / 11% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.02 goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 0.71 for Piteå, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Stockholm Internazionale win83%

Draw11%

Piteå win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

17%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

3–011.0%
2–010.9%
4–08.3%
3–17.8%
2–17.8%

Recent form

Stockholm Internazionale

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AFC Eskilstuna · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Assyriska FF · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sollentuna · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlberg · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stocksund · 5-2 (W)

Piteå

2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sollentuna · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 3-3 (D)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs IF Karlstad · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Assyriska FF · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Järfälla · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ettan - Norra table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	28	20	4	4	45	64
2	AFC Eskilstuna	28	16	5	7	17	53
3	Arlanda	28	15	6	7	15	51
4	Enköping	28	16	3	9	3	51
5	Hammarby Talang	28	14	7	7	26	49
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	6	46
7	IF Karlstad	28	12	8	8	11	44
8	Umeå FC	28	11	6	11	-4	39
9	Assyriska FF	28	10	5	13	-5	35
10	Gefle IF	28	10	5	13	-13	35
11	Karlberg	28	9	7	12	-10	34
12	Sollentuna	28	7	10	11	-7	31
13	Vasalund	28	7	7	14	-22	28
14	Piteå	28	5	9	14	-18	24
15	Järfälla	28	6	5	17	-21	23
16	Stocksund	28	3	6	19	-23	15

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Stockholm Internazionale win, at 83.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 83% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.