· Analysis updated 15:21 UTC
Strakonice vs Táborsko II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Strakonice and 2.34 for Táborsko II, a combined total of 4.11. That distribution gives Táborsko II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Táborsko II win
50.6% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 2.34
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Strakonice home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Táborsko II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Táborsko II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 30% / 20% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Strakonice and 2.34 for Táborsko II, a combined 4.11 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–16.8%
- 1–36.2%
- 2–16.0%
Recent form
Strakonice
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárov · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rokycany · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 5-2 (W)
Táborsko II
- 2026-10-17T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petřín Plzeň | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Spartak Pribram | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 23 |
| 3 | Křimice | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Komárov | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Hořovicko | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Soběslav | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Táborsko II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Doubravka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Strakonice | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -21 | 3 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Táborsko II win, at 50.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.