Stadion na Zelnickach · Analysis updated 21:20 UTC
Strání vs Tatran Všechovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.21 expected goals for Strání and 2.25 for Tatran Všechovice, a combined total of 4.46. That distribution gives Tatran Všechovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
60.5% probability
Expected goals
2.21 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Strání home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tatran Všechovice away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.5%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–15.7%
- 2–35.4%
Recent form
Strání
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Krumvir · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bzenec · 6-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Všechovice · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavičín · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nové Sady · 9-0 (W)
Tatran Všechovice
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Brumov · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 6-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · Strání 4-3 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · Strání 3-0 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2025-10-25T12:30:00.000Z · Strání 1-1 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2024-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · Strání 2-2 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2023-09-16T13:30:00.000Z · Strání 2-0 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2022-05-28T15:00:00.000Z · Strání 4-2 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2021-10-09T13:00:00.000Z · Strání 0-1 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
4. liga - Divizie E table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 30 |
| 2 | Strání | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 28 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | Sokol Lanžhot | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Slavičín | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | SK Krumvir | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Prostejov B | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Šternberk | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Holešov | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Hluk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 11 | Břeclav | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Kroměříž II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Brumov | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -21 | 7 |
| 15 | Nové Sady | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 7 |
| 16 | Baťov | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -39 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 60.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.