Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie E · Group E - 713:30
StráníWLWLW

4 – 3

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Stadion na Zelnickach · Analysis updated 21:20 UTC

Strání vs Tatran Všechovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.21 expected goals for Strání and 2.25 for Tatran Všechovice, a combined total of 4.46. That distribution gives Tatran Všechovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

60.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.21 – 2.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Strání home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Tatran Všechovice away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Strání win40%
Draw20%
Tatran Všechovice win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–26.5%
  • 2–16.4%
  • 1–15.7%
  • 2–35.4%

Recent form

Strání

  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Krumvir · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bzenec · 6-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Všechovice · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavičín · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nové Sady · 9-0 (W)

Tatran Všechovice

  • 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Brumov · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 6-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · Strání 4-3 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
  • 2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · Strání 3-0 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
  • 2025-10-25T12:30:00.000Z · Strání 1-1 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
  • 2024-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · Strání 2-2 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
  • 2023-09-16T13:30:00.000Z · Strání 2-0 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
  • 2022-05-28T15:00:00.000Z · Strání 4-2 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)
  • 2021-10-09T13:00:00.000Z · Strání 0-1 Tatran Všechovice (4. liga - Divizie E)

4. liga - Divizie E table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tatran Všechovice1210023130
2Strání129122728
3Kozlovice127411525
4Sokol Lanžhot12723523
5Slavičín12714722
6SK Krumvir12714322
7Prostejov B12633421
8Šternberk12525217
9Holešov12444116
10Hluk11362615
11Břeclav12435015
12Bzenec12408-812
13Kroměříž II12237-109
14Brumov12219-217
15Nové Sady11218-237
16Baťov120012-390

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 60.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.