Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · Matchweek 1613:00
StrindheimWWWWD

4 – 0

Saturday, 15 August 2026

NTNUILWWLW

Leangen Bolig Arena · Analysis updated 15:39 UTC

Strindheim vs NTNUI Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.06 expected goals for Strindheim and 0.97 for NTNUI, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Strindheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Strindheim win

78.9% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.06 – 0.97

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Strindheim home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • NTNUI away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Strindheim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 13% / 9% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.06 goals for Strindheim and 0.97 for NTNUI, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Strindheim win79%
Draw13%
NTNUI win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 3–08.5%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 4–06.5%

Recent form

Strindheim

  • 2026-10-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg II · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nardo · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Molde II · 10-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Volda · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kvik Trondheim · 1-0 (W)

NTNUI

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Aalesund II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nardo · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Trondheim · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Molde II · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Orkla · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Strindheim2416443952
2Volda2416443852
3Melhus2412572641
4Byåsen241158738
5Molde II241059-1135
6Rosenborg II2410410934
7Nardo24103111433
8Herd249510-732
9Spjelkavik248511-829
10NTNUI247710-1628
11Ranheim II247512-1726
12Kvik Trondheim247512-2126
13Aalesund II247413-2325
14Orkla245514-3020

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Strindheim win, at 78.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.