Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Sturm Graz and 1.00 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Sturm Graz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Sturm Graz or Draw

70.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sturm Graz win42%

Draw29%

SCR Altach win30%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals39%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

1–013.2%
1–113.2%
0–010.5%
0–110.5%
2–08.2%

Why the model likes this

Sturm Graz home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sturm Graz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 29% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.00 for SCR Altach, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Sturm Graz

2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SCR Altach · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-11T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Fenerbahçe · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs TSV Hartberg · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Fenerbahçe · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs WSG Wattens · 1-1 (D)

SCR Altach

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.