WIRmachenDRUCK Arena · Referee N. Rose · Analysis updated 15:32 UTC
Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Stuttgart II and 2.15 for Preußen Münster, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Preußen Münster the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Preußen Münster win
48.4% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 2.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stuttgart II home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Preußen Münster away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.4%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.6%
- 1–36.0%
Recent form
Stuttgart II
- 2026-10-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Würzburger Kickers · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Würzburger Kickers · 2-1 (W)
Preußen Münster
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Waldhof Mannheim · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Saarbrücken · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Viktoria Köln · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 1-2 Preußen Münster (3. Liga)
- 2015-12-19T13:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 2-1 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
- 2015-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 1-3 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
- 2014-12-13T13:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 0-1 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
- 2014-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 0-3 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
- 2014-02-21T18:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 0-0 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
- 2013-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 3-1 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
- 2013-04-16T16:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 0-1 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
- 2012-09-01T12:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 0-0 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
- 2012-03-13T18:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 1-1 Preussen Munster (3. Liga)
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Saarbrücken | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Waldhof Mannheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Alemannia Aachen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Verl | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Fortuna Köln | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | SV Meppen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | SV Wehen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Havelse | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Preußen Münster win, at 48.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.