WIRmachenDRUCK Arena · Referee Y. Sager · Analysis updated 11:54 UTC
Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Stuttgart II and 2.05 for SSV Jahn Regensburg, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives SSV Jahn Regensburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.3% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stuttgart II home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SSV Jahn Regensburg away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.7%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–35.3%
Recent form
Stuttgart II
- 2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Meppen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Würzburger Kickers · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock · 2-3 (L)
SSV Jahn Regensburg
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Wehen · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Verl · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs WSG Wattens · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart II · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04T14:30:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 3-1 SSV Jahn Regensburg (3. Liga)
- 2025-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 2-3 SSV Jahn Regensburg (3. Liga)
- 2015-02-14T13:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 1-4 Jahn Regensburg (3. Liga)
- 2014-08-27T17:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 1-2 Jahn Regensburg (3. Liga)
- 2014-05-03T11:30:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 1-1 Jahn Regensburg (3. Liga)
- 2013-11-30T13:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 0-2 Jahn Regensburg (3. Liga)
- 2012-01-31T18:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 1-0 Jahn Regensburg (3. Liga)
- 2011-08-06T12:00:00.000Z · Stuttgart II 0-2 Jahn Regensburg (3. Liga)
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Alemannia Aachen | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Hansa Rostock | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | SV Wehen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | SV Meppen | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Stuttgart II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Waldhof Mannheim | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Preußen Münster | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Verl | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | Würzburger Kickers | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 19 | Fortuna Köln | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | Havelse | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.