· Analysis updated 06:18 UTC
Stuttgart U19 vs 1860 München U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Stuttgart U19 and 2.40 for 1860 München U19, a combined total of 4.63. That distribution gives 1860 München U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.7% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 2.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stuttgart U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
1860 München U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 1860 München U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 37% / 19% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Stuttgart U19 and 2.40 for 1860 München U19, a combined 4.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.3%
- 2–15.8%
- 2–35.6%
- 1–15.2%
Recent form
Stuttgart U19
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Jahn Regensburg U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-09T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Viking U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Freiburg U19 · 3-2 (W)
1860 München U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 4-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Wieseck U19 · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.