· Analysis updated 14:26 UTC
Stuttgart U19 vs Hertha BSC U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Stuttgart U19 and 2.10 for Hertha BSC U19, a combined total of 4.33. That distribution gives Stuttgart U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.3% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stuttgart U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha BSC U19 away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stuttgart U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 20% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Stuttgart U19 and 2.10 for Hertha BSC U19, a combined 4.33 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–26.5%
- 1–16.2%
- 3–25.4%
Recent form
Stuttgart U19
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Jahn Regensburg U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-09T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Viking U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Freiburg U19 · 3-2 (W)
Hertha BSC U19
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Unterrath U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.