· Analysis updated 20:44 UTC
Stuttgarter K'rs U19 vs Heidenheim U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Stuttgarter K'rs U19 and 4.23 for Heidenheim U19, a combined total of 5.13. That distribution gives Heidenheim U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 90%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 90% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Heidenheim U19 win
90.2% probability
Expected goals
0.90 – 4.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stuttgarter K'rs U19 home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Heidenheim U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Heidenheim U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 90%, against 4% / 6% / 90% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Stuttgarter K'rs U19 and 4.23 for Heidenheim U19, a combined 5.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
10%
Double chance 12
94%
Double chance X2
97%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–47.9%
- 0–37.5%
- 1–47.1%
- 1–36.7%
- 0–56.7%
Recent form
Stuttgarter K'rs U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Augsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 0-9 (L)
Heidenheim U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs 1860 München U19 · 6-4 (W)
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Ulm U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Heidenheim U19 win, at 90.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 90% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.