Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:00

5 – 5

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 19:18 UTC

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 vs Sandhausen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Stuttgarter K'rs U19 and 1.91 for Sandhausen U19, a combined total of 4.51. That distribution gives Stuttgarter K'rs U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 win

53.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.91

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Stuttgarter K'rs U19 home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sandhausen U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Stuttgarter K'rs U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 19% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.60 goals for Stuttgarter K'rs U19 and 1.91 for Sandhausen U19, a combined 4.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 win53%
Draw19%
Sandhausen U19 win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score79%

Correct score

  • 2–17.1%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 3–16.2%
  • 3–25.9%
  • 1–15.5%

Recent form

Stuttgarter K'rs U19

  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Augsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 0-9 (L)

Sandhausen U19

  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 3-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Stuttgarter K'rs U19 win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.