· Analysis updated 13:50 UTC
Stuttgarter K'rs U19 vs Ulm U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Stuttgarter K'rs U19 and 2.80 for Ulm U19, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Ulm U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ulm U19 win
62.1% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 2.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stuttgarter K'rs U19 home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ulm U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ulm U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 21% / 17% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Stuttgarter K'rs U19 and 2.80 for Ulm U19, a combined 4.43 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.6%
- 1–37.1%
- 2–26.2%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–15.4%
Recent form
Stuttgarter K'rs U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Augsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 0-9 (L)
Ulm U19
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ulm U19 win, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.