· Analysis updated 15:33 UTC
Südburgenland W vs First Vienna W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Südburgenland W and 2.00 for First Vienna W, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives First Vienna W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
First Vienna W win
50.4% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Südburgenland W home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
First Vienna W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates First Vienna W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 28% / 22% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Südburgenland W and 2.00 for First Vienna W, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 2–16.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.3%
Recent form
Südburgenland W
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Salzburg W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 1-9 (L)
First Vienna W
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Rapid W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Salzburg W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten W · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | St. Pölten W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 |
| 3 | Austria Wien W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | Salzburg W | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Rheindorf Altach W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | LASK W | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 6 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -26 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is First Vienna W win, at 50.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.