Austria · Frauenliga · Matchweek 808:30

0 – 1

Sunday, 27 September 2026

· Analysis updated 14:17 UTC

Südburgenland W vs Rheindorf Altach W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Südburgenland W and 1.40 for Rheindorf Altach W, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Südburgenland W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Südburgenland W win

49.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Südburgenland W home form

    2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rheindorf Altach W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Südburgenland W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.90 goals for Südburgenland W and 1.40 for Rheindorf Altach W, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Südburgenland W win49%
Draw22%
Rheindorf Altach W win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–07.0%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 2–06.7%

Recent form

Südburgenland W

  • 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Salzburg W · 0-2 (L)

Rheindorf Altach W

  • 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Rapid W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Frauenliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Pölten W87102322
2Sturm Graz W96211420
3Austria Wien W86112319
4Rheindorf Altach W8512616
5Salzburg W9414-613
6LASK W9225-68
7First Vienna W9144-87
8SK Rapid W8134-96
9Südburgenland W9126-185
10Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W9117-194

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Südburgenland W win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.