Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand - 2012:00
SunnerstaDWLWW

0 – 1

Sunday, 6 September 2026

EnskedeWWWWW

· Analysis updated 12:42 UTC

Sunnersta vs Enskede Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Sunnersta and 1.25 for Enskede, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Sunnersta the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sunnersta win

50.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Sunnersta home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Enskede away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sunnersta to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.83 goals for Sunnersta and 1.25 for Enskede, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Sunnersta win51%
Draw23%
Enskede win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–26.6%

Recent form

Sunnersta

  • 2026-10-17T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Gute · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Korsnäs · 7-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kungsängen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lidingö · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Franke · 2-1 (W)

Enskede

  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Falu BS · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bollstanäs · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Gute · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Kungsängen · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sunnersta · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Norra Svealand table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skiljebo2618533459
2Enskede2617451955
3Sunnersta2616644354
4Angby2615652551
5Falu BS261358844
6Täby2612681642
7Franke2611411437
8Gute269611033
9Bollstanäs268711-431
10Kungsängen2651110-926
11Viggbyholms IK267415-2325
12Lidingö266515-2723
13Korsnäs264517-3617
14Helges262420-5010

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sunnersta win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.