Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · North - 717:30

17:30 UTC

Friday, 4 September 2026

· Analysis updated 23:45 UTC

SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Eimsbütteler TV Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.31 expected goals for SV Drochtersen/Assel and 1.82 for Eimsbütteler TV, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives SV Drochtersen/Assel the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

SV Drochtersen/Assel to Win

49.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.31 – 1.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

SV Drochtersen/Assel win49%
Draw20%
Eimsbütteler TV win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams to score76%

Correct score

  • 2–17.8%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 3–16.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates SV Drochtersen/Assel to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 20% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.31 goals for SV Drochtersen/Assel and 1.82 for Eimsbütteler TV, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 76%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

  • Model confidence

    SV Drochtersen/Assel to Win is the headline pick at 49% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

SV Drochtersen/Assel

    Eimsbütteler TV

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.