SV Horn vs Wienerberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.03 expected goals for SV Horn and 0.78 for Wienerberg, a combined total of 3.81. That distribution gives SV Horn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

SV Horn win

82.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.03 – 0.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

SV Horn home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wienerberg away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SV Horn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 12% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.03 goals for SV Horn and 0.78 for Wienerberg, a combined 3.81 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SV Horn win82%

Draw12%

Wienerberg win7%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

18%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

3–010.3%
2–010.2%
3–18.0%
2–17.9%
4–07.8%

Recent form

SV Horn

2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Krems / Rehberg · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Donau · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Leobendorf · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wienerberg · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fach-Donaufeld · 1-2 (L)

Wienerberg

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloggnitz · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Fach-Donaufeld · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Scheiblingkirchen · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wiener Viktoria · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiener SC · 0-6 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Ost table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	13	9	1	3	21	28
2	Wiener SC	13	8	2	3	16	26
3	Oberwart	13	8	2	3	11	26
4	Traiskirchen	13	7	3	3	5	24
5	Krems / Rehberg	13	7	2	4	5	23
6	Wiener Viktoria	13	6	2	5	3	20
7	Fach-Donaufeld	13	6	2	5	0	20
8	Scheiblingkirchen	13	5	4	4	-6	19
9	Parndorf	13	5	3	5	5	18
10	Leobendorf	13	5	3	5	2	18
11	Mattersburg SV 2020	13	5	1	7	-5	16
12	Donau	13	3	6	4	3	15
13	Gloggnitz	13	3	5	5	-7	14
14	Favoritner AC	13	4	1	8	-9	13
15	SV Horn	13	3	2	8	-4	11
16	Wienerberg	13	0	1	12	-40	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is SV Horn win, at 82.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.