SV Sandhausen vs Stuttgarter Kickers Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for SV Sandhausen and 1.30 for Stuttgarter Kickers, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives SV Sandhausen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

SV Sandhausen home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stuttgarter Kickers away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SV Sandhausen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.33 goals for SV Sandhausen and 1.30 for Stuttgarter Kickers, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SV Sandhausen win38%

Draw26%

Stuttgarter Kickers win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.5%
1–09.6%
0–19.4%
2–18.3%
1–28.1%

Recent form

SV Sandhausen

2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Offenbach · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kaiserslautern II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Astoria Walldorf · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SSV Ulm 1846 · 2-2 (D)

Stuttgarter Kickers

2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfR Mannheim · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Offenbach · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2025-11-30T13:00:00.000Z · SV Sandhausen 2-1 Stuttgarter Kickers (Regionalliga - SudWest)
2025-08-10T12:00:00.000Z · SV Sandhausen 2-3 Stuttgarter Kickers (Regionalliga - SudWest)

Regionalliga - SudWest table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SGV Freiberg	12	7	5	0	19	26
2	VfR Aalen	12	7	3	2	11	24
3	VfR Mannheim	12	6	5	1	11	23
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	12	7	2	3	6	23
5	Kickers Offenbach	12	6	2	4	6	20
6	FC 08 Homburg	12	5	4	3	1	19
7	SV Sandhausen	12	5	4	3	-1	19
8	Eintracht Trier	12	6	1	5	-3	19
9	Freiburg II	11	4	4	3	5	16
10	TSV Steinbach	12	4	4	4	2	16
11	Hessen Kassel	12	4	2	6	-4	14
12	FSV Frankfurt	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	11	4	1	6	-2	13
14	FSV Mainz 05 II	12	3	2	7	-11	11
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	12	2	4	6	-5	10
16	Kaiserslautern II	12	2	4	6	-13	10
17	SSV Ulm 1846	12	1	6	5	-7	9
18	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.