· Analysis updated 09:04 UTC
Svätý Jur vs Dunajská Lužná Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Svätý Jur and 1.83 for Dunajská Lužná, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Svätý Jur the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.2% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Svätý Jur home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dunajská Lužná away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Svätý Jur to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 22% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Svätý Jur and 1.83 for Dunajská Lužná, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.3%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.0%
Recent form
Svätý Jur
- 2025-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rača · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FK Budmerice · 8-2 (W)
- 2024-07-28T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Báhoň · 0-3 (L)
- 2023-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 0-7 (L)
- 2023-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jarovce Bratislava · 3-0 (W)
Dunajská Lužná
- 2026-08-22T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nové Zámky · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Šenkvice · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Veľké Ludince · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava · 1-3 (L)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rača · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.