Fotbalový Stadión Svätý Peter · Analysis updated 23:52 UTC
Svaty Peter vs Družstevník Bešeňov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Svaty Peter and 2.14 for Družstevník Bešeňov, a combined total of 3.74. That distribution gives Družstevník Bešeňov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Družstevník Bešeňov win
50.4% probability
Expected goals
1.60 – 2.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Svaty Peter home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Družstevník Bešeňov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 29% / 21% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.60 goals for Svaty Peter and 2.14 for Družstevník Bešeňov, a combined 3.74 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.7%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.5%
- 1–36.2%
Recent form
Svaty Peter
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 0-13 (L)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlaté Moravce · 0-6 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kmeťovo · 1-0 (W)
- 2024-07-21T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Družstevník Bešeňov · 1-4 (L)
Družstevník Bešeňov
- 2026-08-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nové Zámky · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nitra · 0-5 (L)
- 2024-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nové Zámky · 0-4 (L)
- 2024-07-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Svaty Peter · 4-1 (W)
- 2023-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Malženice · 1-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Družstevník Bešeňov win, at 50.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.