· Analysis updated 13:28 UTC
Svaty Peter vs Dunajska Streda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Svaty Peter and 2.69 for Dunajska Streda, a combined total of 3.87. That distribution gives Dunajska Streda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dunajska Streda win
69.4% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 2.69
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Svaty Peter home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Dunajska Streda away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dunajska Streda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 14% / 16% / 69% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Svaty Peter and 2.69 for Dunajska Streda, a combined 3.87 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
31%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.9%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–27.6%
- 0–36.8%
- 1–16.6%
Recent form
Svaty Peter
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 0-13 (L)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlaté Moravce · 0-6 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kmeťovo · 1-0 (W)
- 2024-07-21T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Družstevník Bešeňov · 1-4 (L)
Dunajska Streda
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zemplín Michalovce · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-15T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Veľké Ludince · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Trencin · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · Svaty Peter 0-13 Dunajska Streda (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dunajska Streda win, at 69.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.